As [livejournal.com profile] detailbear can attest to, I have making this same prediction for a decade now myself. It's one of the reasons I won't move back to the Red States.

From RIA Novosti, the Russian Press Agency:

Russian analyst predicts decline and breakup of U.S.

MOSCOW, November 24 (RIA Novosti) - A leading Russian political analyst has said the economic turmoil in the United States has confirmed his long-held view that the country is heading for collapse, and will divide into separate parts.

Professor Igor Panarin said in an interview with the respected daily Izvestia published on Monday: "The dollar is not secured by anything. The country's foreign debt has grown like an avalanche, even though in the early 1980s there was no debt. By 1998, when I first made my prediction, it had exceeded $2 trillion. Now it is more than 11 trillion. This is a pyramid that can only collapse."


The paper said Panarin's dire predictions for the U.S. economy, initially made at an international conference in Australia 10 years ago at a time when the economy appeared strong, have been given more credence by this year's events.

When asked when the U.S. economy would collapse, Panarin said: "It is already collapsing. Due to the financial crisis, three of the largest and oldest five banks on Wall Street have already ceased to exist, and two are barely surviving. Their losses are the biggest in history. Now what we will see is a change in the regulatory system on a global financial scale: America will no longer be the world's financial regulator."

When asked who would replace the U.S. in regulating world markets, he said: "Two countries could assume this role: China, with its vast reserves, and Russia, which could play the role of a regulator in Eurasia."

Asked why he expected the U.S. to break up into separate parts, he said: "A whole range of reasons. Firstly, the financial problems in the U.S. will get worse. Millions of citizens there have lost their savings. Prices and unemployment are on the rise. General Motors and Ford are on the verge of collapse, and this means that whole cities will be left without work. Governors are already insistently demanding money from the federal center. Dissatisfaction is growing, and at the moment it is only being held back by the elections and the hope that Obama can work miracles. But by spring, it will be clear that there are no miracles."

He also cited the "vulnerable political setup", "lack of unified national laws", and "divisions among the elite, which have become clear in these crisis conditions."

He predicted that the U.S. will break up into six parts - the Pacific coast, with its growing Chinese population; the South, with its Hispanics; Texas, where independence movements are on the rise; the Atlantic coast, with its distinct and separate mentality; five of the poorer central states with their large Native American populations; and the northern states, where the influence from Canada is strong.

He even suggested that "we could claim Alaska - it was only granted on lease, after all."

On the fate of the U.S. dollar, he said: "In 2006 a secret agreement was reached between Canada, Mexico and the U.S. on a common Amero currency as a new monetary unit. This could signal preparations to replace the dollar. The one-hundred dollar bills that have flooded the world could be simply frozen. Under the pretext, let's say, that terrorists are forging them and they need to be checked."

When asked how Russia should react to his vision of the future, Panarin said: "Develop the ruble as a regional currency. Create a fully functioning oil exchange, trading in rubles... We must break the strings tying us to the financial Titanic, which in my view will soon sink."

Panarin, 60, is a professor at the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and has authored several books on information warfare.

From: [identity profile] bachelor-farmer.livejournal.com


Capper's Weekly scooped the breakup about 30 years ago.

But irregardless it is going to get pretty shabby around here.

If you are not aware of it, look at www.kunstler.com

From: [identity profile] kevynjacobs.livejournal.com


It's a meme that I don't mind keeping alive.

You know, I've been on Kunstler's site once before, looking at the "Eyesore of the Month" feature. Did that again tonight, took a couple hours going through all of his cultural commentaries. Thanks for the diversion!

Did you read A World Made By Hand? I've heard about it before. Is it a good read?

From: [identity profile] bachelor-farmer.livejournal.com


The Eyesore is usually spot on. I gave him the ATM canopy. After that I saw a lot more gross ones.

I have not read AWMBH but it sounds fascinating.

From: [identity profile] canismajor3.livejournal.com


that wouldn't surprise me in the least.


may i hereby elect myself prime minister of Seattleland, the great empire that rules from the beautiful british colombia to just before the cesspool that is Eugene, from the glorious waters of the pacific ocean to the eastern edge of the Cascades. A magificent land of green living, moderately insane hippies, and microsoft all the salmon you could ever dream of, not to mention the wonders of a cloudy environ 300+ days of the year! What joy!

From: [identity profile] kevynjacobs.livejournal.com

The Right Honourable Prime Minister Barbara Martin


So mote it be. Are you kicking out Micro$oft?

You know, the way you describe it, this environment probably not conducive for an astronomer.

Is it just me, or does everyone get crazier around here in the winter?

From: [identity profile] kevynjacobs.livejournal.com


Of course, the report is coming from a Ruskie who specializes in Information Warfare. Memetics, anyone?

From: [identity profile] bluebear2.livejournal.com


Well, there was that guy about 8 years ago who claimed that he had come from the future who said the U.S. would break up into four administrative regions. Still one country but with four capitols for each area. (Or something like that.)

http://www.johntitor.com

From: [identity profile] kevynjacobs.livejournal.com


LOL! Never heard of that guy before.

There are natural cultural, linguistic, geographical and historical fault lines that run through the U.S., just as they run through Canada: Cascadia. Calexico. Texas. Alaska. Hawai'i. Vermont. New England. Megalopolis. Dixie. Lakota. South Alberta. Utah. The Prairies. Mississippia. The Conch Republic.

I guarantee that, should it become economically preferable to split along any of them, and the federal government is in a weakened state, it will happen.
.

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